Staying the Course, Steering the Future[1]
Good afternoon, colleagues and friends.
It’s wonderful to be back with you.
Let me begin by congratulating
BAIPHIL’s officers on another strong year. Your work—training, connecting, and guiding
members—remains vital in keeping the country’s banking system stable and
resilient.
Your theme “Continuing Partnership
to R.I.S.E. in Banking—Resilience. Inclusivity. Sustainability. Engagement.”
is timely and powerful.
So, let me ask: What does it mean to
rise when the ground beneath us keeps shifting?
Let me
highlight a few key developments that are shaping our path ahead.
- First,
inflation is easing. Over the past five months, inflation has come
down to less than two percent, thanks to moderating rice and energy prices
and actions by the BSP.[2]
We expect the full-year average this year to settle near the lower end of
our target range. But what matters even more is how people see inflation
one year from now. Based on our surveys, expectations remain
anchored—people believe inflation will stay low over the next year.[3]
- Second,
our economy is growing steadily. GDP expanded by 5.5 percent
in the second quarter, placing the Philippines as the second
fastest-growing economy in the region.[4] This
momentum is supported by a healthy banking sector. Lending continues to
grow, and digital financial channels are helping households and firms to
continue to invest and spend.
- Third, our
banking system remains strong and resilient. We continue to exceed
international standards in capital buffers, liquidity coverage, and asset
quality. Our non-performing loan ratio is steady at 3.4 percent, and
capital adequacy stands at 16.5 percent. Key regulatory reforms—such as
the new Capital Markets Efficiency Promotion Act—are expected to deepen
our domestic financial markets, facilitating more efficient funding for
infrastructure, innovation, and national priorities.
- Of course, we face headwinds. Global trade tensions and lingering geopolitical
risks have introduced uncertainty, affecting both emerging and advanced
economies. For small, open economies like ours, remaining insulated is
difficult—especially with rising U.S. protectionism expected to impact not
only trade in goods but also services and remittances. In addition to
imposing higher tariffs on its trade partners, the U.S. has introduced a
tax on remittances and is now considering measures to curb offshoring.
So far, the overall impact on our external balance has been limited,
supported by steady remittance inflows—which have reached nearly US$14
billion as of May this year. Service exports from our IT-BPM industry
remain robust and are expected to overtake remittance receipts for the
first time this year.
- Finally, we have solid buffers despite these
external shocks. Our gross international reserves (or GIR) stand
at US$105.7 billion, enough to cover 7.2 months of imports[5]
and 3.4 times the country's short-term external debt.
These aren’t just good numbers—they
show we’re learning to navigate the storms.
Let us now break down what R.I.S.E. means
in practice.
R for “Resilience”
Resilience today goes beyond capital
buffers and spreadsheets. In a digital world, it means standing firm against
cyberattacks, fraud, outages, and even economic sabotage. Operational
disruptions in the financial system are escalating.
BSP’s cybersurveillance activities show
a continued trend in cybercrime-related losses for the first half of 2025. Prevalent threats target the human element,
which includes phishing, card-not-present fraud, and unauthorized access. This
indicates attempts by threat actors to continually exploit vulnerabilities of
digital financial consumers. Nonetheless, net losses declined notably, driven
by improved loss-recovery mechanisms and cooperation among financial
institutions.
That is why the BSP has taken decisive
actions:
- We rolled out the 2024–2029 Financial Services Cyber Resilience Plan (or FSCRP) on August 6, 2024. The plan is a sector-wide roadmap and strategic framework to strengthen the cyber resilience and maturity of the financial services sector.[6]
- We created the Financial Cyber Resilience
Governance Council on February 11, 2025, to oversee the FSCRP and
facilitate coordination, collective decision-making, and guiding efforts
toward a unified and proactive cybersecurity posture.
- We updated IT and risk management rules[7] to help banks
respond faster.
- We issued guidelines on
operational resilience to ensure the continual delivery of critical
operations to customers through disruptions. Operational resilience is a
critical defense of BSP-supervised financial institutions against cyber
threats and climate-related shocks.
5. We strengthened KYC and AML standards, including
electronic due diligence.[8],[9],[10]
6. 6. We issued enhanced rules for e-money and digital
banks[11],[12]
- We introduced a regulatory sandbox for
testing innovations under the BSP’s oversight[13]
- We rolled out guidelines for the
Anti-Financial Account Scamming Act, or AFASA, in May 2025 to crack down
on mule accounts and phishing scams.[14]
- And we conducted cyber education and
awareness initiatives to build the capacity of small and medium-sized
financial institutions.
We are not plugging leaks—we’re
reinforcing the entire system for greater resilience.
I for “Inclusivity”
One of the most inspiring stories in
Philippine banking is our progress in financial inclusion.
People who once dealt only in cash—vendors,
tricycle drivers, sari-sari store owners—are now part of the digital economy. Thanks
to Paleng-QR Ph Plus, now active in 180 LGUs.[15]
Even MRT-3 commuters can now tap or
scan their way through turnstiles.[16]
In 2019, only 29 percent of Filipinos
had bank accounts. By 2021, that jumped to 56 percent.[17]
But opening an account is just the
beginning. MSMEs make up 99 percent of businesses,[18]
yet receive less than 3.9 percent of total bank loans.[19]
Why? No credit score. No formal income.
No paperwork. So, the BSP responded:
- We promoted the Basic Deposit Account to
bring more people into the formal financial system.[20]
- We launched the Credit Surety Fund and
Credit Risk Database to help banks lend with confidence.[21]
- We supported Supply Chain Finance to reach underserved
markets.[22]
- And we introduced the Standard Business
Loan Application Form to cut red tape for MSMEs.[23]
Having worked in government, in
multilateral institutions, and on private boards, I have seen that the best
lending decisions aren’t always the obvious ones.
Inclusion isn’t charity. It’s smart,
long-term banking.
S for “Sustainability”
We can’t talk about resilience
without addressing climate and environmental risks.
Floods, typhoons, and droughts don’t
just damage property—they disrupt business models, strain credit quality, and
challenge long-term economic growth.
Here is what the BSP is doing:
·
Since 2020, we have issued a series of
regulations to equip banks to effectively manage climate, environmental, and social
risks. We have shifted our focus from reducing the Philippines’ already
negligible carbon footprint (just 0.3% of the global total) to adapting to
climate change–driven disasters, such as typhoons and flooding, to which our
country is among the most vulnerable. Banks should integrate these risk factors
into their corporate and risk governance
·
We also
released Circular No. 1185[24]
to incentivize sustainable financing. For instance:
Ø
A 15-percent
increase in the single borrower’s limit for sustainable projects
Ø
And a
zero-reserve requirement for sustainable bonds
These incentives will run for two years until January 2026—and we’ve
already surveyed banks to gather feedback supporting the policy review.
·
We introduced
the Philippine Sustainable Finance Taxonomy Guidelines,[25]
aligned with national climate goals, emphasizing adaptation as the priority
action, and ASEAN Taxonomy, to give banks and investors a common language.
Following this, a series of supplementary guidance is being issued to ensure
consistent interpretation and implementation of the local taxonomy.[26]
·
We are
developing an Adaptation and Resilience Catalogue to guide banks in identifying
and classifying adaptation-aligned projects. Through stakeholder input, pilot
projects, and innovative financing, we aim to show their viability and build
confidence in adaptation investments.
So, the question isn’t just, “Are
you compliant?” It’s “Is your balance sheet future-ready?” Sustainability is
not just a reporting line. It is a survival strategy and a leadership opportunity.
Finally, E for “Engagement”
Good regulation is not one-way. The
BSP does not regulate from a tower. We engage, listen, and adapt.
We issue exposure drafts, hold policy
dialogues, monitor feedback, and co-develop with the industry. We are active on
major social media platforms to stay connected with the public. We even have a
chatbot to assist financial consumers 24/7 and a mobile app for the most
convenient access to BSP resources.
BAIPHIL has long played a role in
this. My challenge to you: play an even bigger one. Don’t just learn the rules.
Help shape them.
To the new Board: you step into
leadership at a defining moment. My wish for you is simple: rise not just to
meet the future, but to shape it.
Mabuhay ang BAIPHIL. Thank you very much.
###
[1] Speech of Monetary Board Member
Romeo L. Bernardo for the Bankers Institute of the Philippines, Inc. (BAIPHIL) on
its 85th anniversary and Induction Ceremony on
[2] Inflation eased to 0.9 percent
in July, with a year-to-date average of 1.7 percent, below the government’s
target range. https://www.bsp.gov.ph/SitePages/MediaAndResearch/MediaDisp.aspx?ItemId=7614&MType=MediaReleases
[3] Households' mean
12-months-ahead inflation point forecasts eased to 3.7 percent in Q2 2025, from
3.8 percent in Q1. Likewise, firms' mean forecasts decreased to 3.0 percent,
from 3.4 percent in the previous quarter. Source: Consumer Expectations Survey (CES),
Business Expectations Survey (BES).
[4] The Philippines’ Q2 2025 real
GDP growth is next only to Vietnam (8.0 percent); and higher than China (5.2
percent); Indonesia (5.1 percent), Malaysia (4.4 percent) and Singapore (4.3
percent).
[5] Country’s foreign reserves
settle at US$105.7 billion in July 2025 Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Media and Research Press Releases
[6] BSP Launches the 2024 - 2029
Financial Services Cyber Resilience Plan https://www.bsp.gov.ph/SitePages/MediaAndResearch/MediaDisp.aspx?ItemId=7199
[7] Circular No. 808 on IT Risk Management Framework,
Circular No. 982 on Information Security Risk Management Framework, Circular
No. 1137 on Outsourcing Framework, and Circular No. 1140 on Fraud Management
System
[8] Circular No. 1170 dated 30 March 2023 https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Published%20Issuances/Images/Circular_1170.pdf
[9] Circular No. 1182 dated 10 November 2023 https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2023/1182.pdf
[10] Circular No. 1193 dated 29 April 2024 https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2024/1193.pdf
[11] Circular No. 1105 dated 02 December 2020, as amended
by Circular Nos. 1154 and 1205 dated 14 September 2022 and 26 December 2024,
respectively. https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2020/c1105.pdf
[12] Circular No. 1166 dated 7 February 2023 https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2023/1166.pdf
[13] Circular No. 1153 dated 5 Sept. 2022. https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2022/1153.pdf
[16] BSP: Tap-to-pay &
scan-to-pay in MRT-3 to drive digitalization transformation https://www.bsp.gov.ph/SitePages/MediaAndResearch/MediaDisp.aspx?ItemId=7598&MType=MediaRelease
[20] Introduced by the BSP in 2018,
the BDA aims to meet the needs of the unbanked and low-income sector for
affordable and easy-to-open bank accounts. It has a low opening deposit
requirement of PHP100 or less, simple identification requirements, no maintaining
balance requirement, and no dormancy charges.
[22] Input from FSS
[23] Circular No. 1156 dated 30
Sept. 2022 https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2022/1156.pdf
[25] Circular No. 1187 dated 21 February
2024. https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2024/1187.pdf
[26] https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2025/M-2025-025.pdf; https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2024/M-2024-028.pdf; https://www.bsp.gov.ph/Regulations/Issuances/2024/M-2024-035.pdf